| Presenter Name: | Joachim Raeder |
| Authors: | J. Raeder, D. Larson, W. Li, A. Vapirev, T. Fuller-Rowell, N. Maruyama, M.-C. Fok, A. Glocer, F. Toffoletto, B. Hu, S. Sazykin, A. Richmond, A. Maute |
| Title: | Modeling Magnetospheric Impact on the Ionosphere: Status and Challenges for the Upcoming Solar Cycle |
| Abstract: |
As we approach the next solar maximum the predictive capabilities of magnetosphere-ionosphere-thermosphere models have increased significantly compared to the last maximum, due to model improvements, increased computational power, and more data sources. We also face new challenges as more and more human activities become susceptible to space weather effects such as trans-polar flights and GPS navigation and position controls. We first review the current status of coupled Geospace models and how new computational capabilities are making real-time forecasts much more feasible compared to just a few years ago. Second, we discuss how ionosphere activity is driven by the magnetosphere, and how this can be modeled. Finally, we outline the challenges that lie ahead to efficiently validate and transition the models into operations. |